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BIS Oxford Economics is Australia’s leading provider of macroeconomics and industry forecasts, underpinned by over 50 years of experience and a team of 40 economists and analysts.
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Our economists are experts at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
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- Jun 22 2021
The Outlook for Residential Land in Melbourne June 2021
The Outer Melbourne house and land market is enjoying strong conditions across a range of indicators from building activity to loans and prices. However, house approvals and lot production are now...
- Jun 21 2021
Melbourne’s Near City and Suburban Office Markets 2021 – 2031
Market conditions in Melbourne's Near City and suburban office markets will continue to worsen near term as strong supply additions outpace hesitant demand. We anticipate a non-CBD vacancy rate peak...
- Jun 18 2021
The terms of trade are booming, but this time it’s different
Export prices have surged over the past 9 months, driven by record high iron ore prices. This has driven the terms of trade to its highest level since 2011 – the height of the mining investment boom....
- Jun 18 2021
Japan: Building and Construction in Japan 2021-2025: June 2021 Update
Total construction work done eased a little in Q1 2021 (-1.0% q/q), but remained above the previous years level, growing 0.4% y/y. Construction activity is expected to grow further this year, despite...
- Jun 18 2021
Vietnam: Building and Construction in Vietnam 2021-2025: June 2021 Update
Despite the 4th wave of COVID-19 in April, that has seen new cases more than doubled those previously recorded, we still expect the construction sector to pick up quickly this year with overall growth...
- Jun 11 2021
Investment recovery driving a stronger outlook
Our June forecasts contained a substantial upward revision to growth in 2021 and 2022. We now forecast growth of 5.3% in 2021, followed by 3.2% in 2022.
- Jun 10 2021
Building Industry Prospects June 2021 Bulletin
The trajectory for housing demand and private business investment has firmed over recent months, indicating a stronger near-term building investment outlook. Total building is estimated to have return...
- Jun 08 2021
GDP outlook revised up on better Q1 print and high frequency data. Growth now seen at 5.3% in 2021, 3.2% in 2022.
GDP growth was faster than we expected at 1.8% q/q in Q1. Growth in the quarter was driven by the private sector, with consumption, dwelling and business investment all making solid contributions to g...
- Jun 01 2021
Perth Commercial Property Market 2021-2031
The recovery in the Perth CBD office is coming through a little ahead of expectations. Moreover, an upswing in engineering construction and robust economic growth should fuel net absorption between 2...
Latest Global Analysis
- Jun 23 2021
EM financial conditions resist pressures
Abundant liquidity should keep emerging market financial conditions favourable, even as EMs come under pressure from rising inflation globally and weakening currencies force some EM central banks to t...
- Jun 18 2021
Booming house prices add to inflation concerns
Rapid house price rises are feeding into a broader asset price boom that’s the strongest in decades and also unusually synchronised across assets. This trend has potentially large macroeconomic effect...
- Jun 16 2021
Global Risk Survey: Sentiment soars
Business sentiment has improved markedly, based on our June flash survey of global risk perceptions. A sharp economic recovery is seen as increasingly likely, with downside risks at the lowest level i...
- Jun 15 2021
How central bank sentiment shifts move bond markets
Using our proprietary machine learning-based sentiment analysis, we find that of the big four central banks, the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are both changing their monetary polic...
- Jun 14 2021
Coronavirus Watch: Nearer-term inflation risks build
The latest US and China inflation numbers have been shrugged off by markets despite being a bit higher than expected. While we still think that talk of a shift to a new regime is premature, the risks...
- Jun 14 2021
What history says about the odds of a consumer boom
Our analysis of sharp shifts in savings rates over the past half-century supports the brisk pace of consumer recovery that we assume in our baseline growth forecast. But given the scale of the recent...
- Jun 10 2021
New climate research bolsters our impact estimates
Our previous analysis about the future economic impact of climate change, based on the approach taken by Burke, Hsiang, and Miguel (2015), found significant effects, potentially cutting growth in the...
- Jun 10 2021
Revisiting the economic impact of climate change
This technical white paper revisits our original estimates of the impact of climate change and compares them to an alternative technique using ARDLs.
- Jun 02 2021
Assessing the risk of an inflation regime change
Inflation in advanced economies is set to rise this year to the highest rate in a decade. This has sparked fears of a shift to a high inflation regime which could feature inflation persistently above...
- Jun 02 2021
We’re still largely sanguine on price pressures
China’s recent measures to rein in rapidly rising prices of commodities and in heavy industry will have only a limited impact, in our view. But we expect international commodity prices will stop risin...
New Australian Sub-City Service
As our cities grow and adapt to economic developments, insights at the city and sub-city level are more important than ever. Understanding divergent trends across states and within cities is crucial for enabling our clients to make better strategic decisions, identify new opportunities, and manage key risks.
Construction in Australia & New Zealand
Market-leading insights and detailed analysis of the construction industry into Australia and New Zealand, providing forecast and identifying market opportunities and risks.
Property classes in Australia
With 30 years’ experience in forecasting Australia’s property markets, BIS Oxford Economics’ analysis offers deep insights into future market prospects and realistic forecasts that can be relied upon to guide clients in strategic property decisions.
About Us
As part of the Oxford Economics Group we are the largest independent economics research house worldwide. Our team are experts at applying advanced economic and research techniques to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. Thanks to our multi-disciplinary team and our wide access to sector experts, executives and policy-makers we can dig deep into the business, economic, industry, financial, regulatory, technology, and social issues that organisations have to face.
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