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CORONAVIRUS - LATEST UPDATES AND ANALYSIS: Services still the key weakness...
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Our economists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
Latest Australian Analysis
- Aug 14 2020
Population growth hit hard by the pandemic
Overseas travel restrictions are anticipated to persist for some time, steadily unwinding from mid-2021. The repair process is expected to be gradual, taking until FY2024 for net overseas migration to...
- Aug 14 2020
COVID-19 will have long-lived impacts on labour market
Periods of labour market stress can have long-lasting impacts beyond the current economic cycle. Employment, productivity and earnings can all be impaired by ‘hysteresis’ effects – short run disruptio...
- Aug 11 2020
Stage-four restrictions in Melbourne lead to forecast downgrade as recovery is paused. GDP to fall 4.9% in 2020, recovering to 2% in 2021.
The run of data over the past month has come in broadly as expected. However, the move to Stage-four lockdown restrictions in Melbourne has led to a material downgrade of our forecasts. Beyond the dir...
- Aug 07 2020
New Recovery Tracker shows a decline in conditions
We have constructed a new ‘Recovery Tracker’ index to gauge momentum in the economy as it bounces back from the COVID-19 pandemic. The index combines information on health outcomes, consumer demand, m...
- Aug 07 2020
Japan: Building and Construction in Japan 2020-2024: August 2020 Update
The decline in residential and non-residential building starts in Q2 is expected to have accelerated, amid the state of emergency during April, subsequent social distancing measures on construction s...
- Aug 07 2020
The Outlook for Residential Land in Adelaide August 2020
Adelaide is somewhat insulated from the worst impacts of the coronavirus-induced recession and slump in population growth. Nonetheless, it will suffer notably weaker demand for houses over the nex...
- Aug 07 2020
New Recovery Tracker shows a decline in conditions
We have constructed a new ‘Recovery Tracker’ index to gauge momentum in the economy as it bounces back from the COVID-19 pandemic. The index combines information on health outcomes, consumer demand, m...
- Aug 06 2020
JobKeeper changes juggle normalisation and support
The Federal Government’s JobKeeper program has successfully cushioned the fall in employment and limited the surge in the unemployment rate caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Keeping workers attached to...
- Aug 04 2020
Brisbane Industrial Property Prospects 2020-2030
The Brisbane industrial market was facing headwinds from moderating demand and above average supply before the impact from the coronavirus. Now, with much weaker demand, vacancies will rise and imp...
- Jul 31 2020
Engineering Construction in Australia 2020 - 2034 July Update
The ongoing completion of LNG projects in WA and NT resulted in headline engineering construction work done falling by 3% year-on-year to $19.6bn in the March 2020 quarter. While this data mostly pr...
Latest Global Analysis
- Aug 14 2020
Global Macro Themes and Asset Views Chartbook, August 2020
In our global macro chartbook for August, we summarise our views on current global themes and asset markets, and link to our research highlights over the last month. Given the scale of recent revision...
- Aug 10 2020
Coronavirus Watch: Services still the key weakness
Some early releases for July, notably services PMIs, have raised hopes of a V-shape recovery. But the outlook remains precarious, as illustrated by diverging financial markets. The recovery remains pa...
- Aug 10 2020
The consequences of pandemic-driven inequality
According to our analysis, the Covid-19 pandemic is likely to exaggerate global inequality, leading to more aggregate debt among lower earners and higher savings for those at the top. The surge in sav...
- Aug 05 2020
So far, so good for EM financial conditions
Emerging market financial conditions bottomed out in May, but many EMs still have some ground to cover. China is doing well, but others are struggling. Worryingly, they’re not only the usual suspects...
- Aug 03 2020
Coronavirus Watch: Bumpy stabilisation
Largely as we expected, GDP data for Q2 published so far show very steep declines of 10%-15% in major economies. Early indications for Q2 for some emerging markets suggest their GDP slumps will be as...
- Jul 31 2020
Global Risk Survey: Fears of a second wave dominate
Last month’s tentative improvement in business sentiment has proved fleeting, according to our latest survey of global risk perceptions. Compared with three months ago, more respondents now expect a d...
- Jul 30 2020
High-profile downgrades mask more stable outlook
Based on our global review of institutions’ economic projections, many are continuing to lower their world GDP forecasts. But the latest downgrades appear to reflect an attempt by some to catch up wit...
- Jul 30 2020
V-shape consumer recovery? Not so fast…
Incoming retail sales data for June suggest a V-shape recovery in consumer spending. But these data don’t tell the whole story. Recoveries are uneven across economies, and retail sales are a poor guid...
- Jul 29 2020
Inside Frontier Markets – July 2020
In this edition, we present cross-country quantitative assessments of EMBI spreads, then look at Sri Lanka, Costa Rica, Ukraine, Egypt, Ecuador, and Argentina.
- Jul 29 2020
Don’t expect Covid-19 to boost weak productivity
The Covid-19 outbreak has the capacity to create some positive spillovers to advanced economies’ (AEs) productivity in the medium term. But we expect the underlying factors that have suppressed produc...
About Us
As part of the Oxford Economics Group we are the largest independent economics research house worldwide. Our team are experts at applying advanced economic and research techniques to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. Thanks to our multi-disciplinary team and our wide access to sector experts, executives and policy-makers we can dig deep into the business, economic, industry, financial, regulatory, technology, and social issues that organisations have to face.
In the Media
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Engineering Construction in Australia
Engineering Construction in Australia provides the best analysis, insights and forecasts of Australia’s dynamic civil construction market across transport (roads, bridges, railways, harbours), utilities (water, sewerage, electricity, telecommunications), recreation, pipelines and mining and heavy industry construction. Updated quarterly, including an extensive databank, detailed forecasts and project lists.
Building in Australia
A comprehensive overview of the long run Australia residential and non-residential outlook. Includes detailed forecasts by sector, including houses, apartments, offices, retail, warehouses, accommodation, education and health.
Residential Property Prospects 2018-2021
Report contains a three year forecast outlook for median house and unit prices for Australia’s state and territory capital cities and selected regional centres. Analysis and forecasts of key drivers, including economic indicators, migration, population growth and underlying demand and supply are also included.