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CORONAVIRUS - LATEST UPDATES AND ANALYSIS: Recovery may be longer and slower...
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Our economists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
Latest Australian Analysis
- Sep 22 2020
Melbourne’s Near City and Suburban Office Markets 2020 – 2030
Conditions in Melbourne’s Near City and suburban office markets shifted rapidly from strength to weakness through H1 2020 and H2 is seeing further deterioration, exacerbated by Stage 4 restriction...
- Sep 21 2020
Philippines: Building and Construction in the Philippines 2020-2024: September 2020 Update
As restriction ease, we expect construction work done to ramp up through to the end of the year. A backlog of delayed projects will support the rebound into 2021 (+16.7%) along with an improving econ...
- Sep 21 2020
Taiwan: Building and Construction in Taiwan 2020-2024: September 2020 Update
Construction loans from five major banks rose 14.2% in H1, reflecting strong developers’ and home buyers’ sentiment. The resilient construction sector is attributed to Taiwan’s successful containment...
- Sep 18 2020
Very low interest rates matched by low credit demand
Since the onset of the pandemic, the RBA have taken actions to provide additional liquidity directly to the financial system. They have also sought to lower other benchmark market rates, targeting the...
- Sep 17 2020
Melbourne Commercial Property Prospects 2020-2030
Melbourne’s CBD office market faces a further sharp increase in vacancy rates over the next year, to over 11%. The rental correction, already under way, is expected to be marked and the recovery prot...
- Sep 16 2020
South Korea: Building and Construction in South Korea 2020-2024: September 2020 Update
The COVID-19 hit to South Korea’s construction sector is less severe than that in most other Asian countries. The total value of commencements is expected to contract 9.1% y/y in 2020, an improvement...
- Sep 09 2020
Realtime data show some positive momentum
Our ‘recovery tracker’ indicator has improved through August, driven by the decline in new COVID-19 cases, in Victoria. However, the index shows conditions are still much weaker than before the pandem...
- Sep 08 2020
Australia enduring its sharpest recession on record. Recovery in Q3 will be marginal as Melbourne lockdown extended. We expect a fall in GDP of 4.3% in 2020
The Q2 national accounts confirmed that Australia is enduring its sharpest recession on record. GDP fell by 7% q/q in the June quarter, led by an unprecedented contraction in domestic demand. Net expo...
- Sep 04 2020
Perth Commercial Property Market 2020-2030
WA is faring better through the COVID-19 pandemic than most other states. Indeed, the near term setback to office employment is likely to be milder than our earlier expectations. Even so, the Pert...
- Sep 01 2020
Singapore: Building and Construction in Singapore 2020-2024: September 2020 Update
While total construction commencements hit further lows in Q2 2020 at S$5.7 billion (-21.3%y/y), H2 is expected to improve as imposed Circuit Breaker (CB) measures ease. This will see total constructi...
Latest Global Analysis
- Sep 21 2020
Coronavirus Watch: Contrasting retail fortunes
The latest data show that retail spending growth in the US and UK is slowing but remains a relative bright spot for both economies in contrast to China. There, retail spending growth is lagging behind...
- Sep 21 2020
Fear of financial crisis stokes business gloom
Global risks remain weighted to the downside, based on our latest bottom-up, scenario-based quantification of economic prospects. We estimate a mean, risk-weighted projection for world GDP that lies a...
- Sep 17 2020
Recovery offers chance to speed clean energy shift
The calamity of coronavirus will be wasted if we don’t seize the opportunity it provides to accelerate the energy transition and reconfigure for sustainability across the economic spectrum.
- Sep 15 2020
Global Risk Survey: Recovery may be longer and slower
Medium-term concerns over the global economy have risen, according to our September 2020 flash survey of risk perceptions. Around one-in-five respondents now judge that the global economy will most l...
- Sep 14 2020
Coronavirus Watch: 2021 GDP forecast down again
As we previously warned, our latest economic forecast contained a downward revision to global GDP growth in 2021. In comparison to a month ago we now expect weaker GDP growth from Q4 2020 through to Q...
- Sep 14 2020
The dollar is correcting, not collapsing
The recent fall in the dollar, which has lost around 7% of its value from a peak earlier this year, in our view reflects an unwinding of a number of short-term dollar positives and a modest deteriorat...
- Sep 11 2020
EM assets to outperform economies in crisis aftermath
We think it’s inevitable that EM assets will perform better than their economies, given a key remedy for the painful lingering impact of the pandemic is to pump unprecedented liquidity into global and...
- Sep 11 2020
Global Macro Themes and Asset Views Chartbook, September 2020
In our global macro chartbook for September, we summarise our views on current global themes and asset markets, and link to our research highlights over the last month. Given the scale of recent revis...
- Sep 07 2020
Coronavirus Watch: Recovery flatters to deceive
Although the closely watched PMI surveys generally continued to strengthen in August, a number of other timely indicators revealed evidence that the post-lockdown growth bounce may already be fading.
- Sep 03 2020
Why it’s still a disinflationary world for most EMs
Demand-led disinflationary pressures continue to dominate in most large emerging markets (EMs) despite rapid monetary expansions, FX depreciations, and inflationary supply disruptions in a few EMs lik...
About Us
As part of the Oxford Economics Group we are the largest independent economics research house worldwide. Our team are experts at applying advanced economic and research techniques to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. Thanks to our multi-disciplinary team and our wide access to sector experts, executives and policy-makers we can dig deep into the business, economic, industry, financial, regulatory, technology, and social issues that organisations have to face.
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Engineering Construction in Australia
Engineering Construction in Australia provides the best analysis, insights and forecasts of Australia’s dynamic civil construction market across transport (roads, bridges, railways, harbours), utilities (water, sewerage, electricity, telecommunications), recreation, pipelines and mining and heavy industry construction. Updated quarterly, including an extensive databank, detailed forecasts and project lists.
Building in Australia
A comprehensive overview of the long run Australia residential and non-residential outlook. Includes detailed forecasts by sector, including houses, apartments, offices, retail, warehouses, accommodation, education and health.
Residential Property Prospects 2018-2021
Report contains a three year forecast outlook for median house and unit prices for Australia’s state and territory capital cities and selected regional centres. Analysis and forecasts of key drivers, including economic indicators, migration, population growth and underlying demand and supply are also included.