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BIS Oxford Economics is Australia’s leading provider of macroeconomics and industry forecasts, underpinned by over 50 years of experience and a team of 40 economists and analysts.
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Our economists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
Latest Australian Analysis
- May 22 2020
Exports to be more resilient than imports during crisis
Trade flows will fall dramatically over 2020 as a result of COVID-19 related disruptions. Weak consumer demand and business investment are set to weigh on import demand, while external demand will be...
- May 20 2020
New Zealand: Building and Construction in New Zealand 2020-2024: Q2 2020 Update
Construction expenditure is expected to drop sharply over the near term as the enforced 25 March month-long lockdown puts a halt on work at construction sites across the country. From the 2019 peak, w...
- May 19 2020
Japan: Building and Construction in Japan 2020-2024: May 2020 Update
Construction work is expected to have slowed in Q1, especially in the non-residential sector, amid the completion of major Olympic Games-related projects (but the now postponed Games till next year wi...
- May 18 2020
Labour market picture becoming clearer, still clouded
The April labour force survey gave our first look at the coronavirus pandemic’s impact on the major labour market indicators. There was a historically large fall in employment, while the unemployment...
- May 14 2020
The shape of the recovery
With the most acute phase of the pandemic seemingly passed, attention is now turning to the economic recovery. The extended lockdowns required to supress the virus and the synchronisation of the downt...
- May 13 2020
Historical perspective on Australian office downturns
The economic fallout from COVID-19 has contributed to significant strain being placed on commercial property. At this stage, the depth of the setback to offices remains highly uncertain and is likely...
- May 08 2020
High frequency data confirm economy has moved into a downturn, with GDP expected to contract 7% in 2020
The flow of new COVID-19 cases has slowed dramatically over the past month, with the smaller states recording no or very few new cases over the past week. The apparent success of the public health res...
- May 08 2020
Another look at the downturn in realtime
The public health response to the coronavirus pandemic has so far been a qualified success, and attention is turning to the unwinding of some social distancing measures. But a material recovery remain...
- May 08 2020
Building Industry Prospects May 2020 Bulletin update
The COVID-19 shock will weigh significantly on the outlook for building construction. New cases have undershot expectations and as a result more extensive lockdown measures have been avoided in Austr...
- May 07 2020
Sharp fall in inflation expected amid pandemic shocks
A sharp, negative inflation shock will hit the economy in Q2. Policies aimed at easing cost-of-living pressures will spur deflation in the June quarter. Further, bearish consumers and weak rental mark...
Latest Global Analysis
- May 21 2020
Funding conditions spiraling into control for most EM
Having survived an extraordinarily acute stress test as global liquidity dried up in February and March, most mature EMs have entered a virtuous – if fragile – funding circle in which markets are shif...
- May 21 2020
Funding conditions spiraling into control for most EM
Having survived an extraordinarily acute stress test as global liquidity dried up in February and March, most mature EMs have entered a virtuous – if fragile – funding circle in which markets are shif...
- May 18 2020
Coronavirus Watch: Climbing out of a deep hole
April’s dreadful US hard data provide further evidence that the plunge in activity during the global lockdown will be enormous. On a more positive note, news from China suggests the global economy wil...
- May 18 2020
As lockdowns ease, consumer recovery to be delayed
Lockdowns and social distancing crushed discretionary consumer spending across economies in March and April. While consumption should start to recover as restrictions are eased, for 2020 as a whole co...
- May 15 2020
Despite falling currencies, EMs now face disinflation
Most EM currencies have fallen significantly year-to-date, and some have seen large depreciations typically associated with high inflation. Yet, most EM central banks (EMCBs) seem relatively unfazed b...
- May 15 2020
Global Macro Themes and Asset Views Chartbook, May 2020
In our global macro chartbook for May, we summarise our views on current global themes and asset markets, and link to our research highlights over the last month. We have slashed our global GDP growth...
- May 13 2020
How bleak futures affect EM sovereign risk and valuations
Our adjusted sovereign risk indicators produce relatively severe downgrades for Qatar, Oman, Egypt, and UAE. The adjustments are straight-forward: we have put additional emphasis on our economists’ fo...
- May 11 2020
Coronavirus Watch: Looser lockdowns but little activity
Peak lockdown, at least at a global level, now appears to have been reached. But despite the growing list of economies taking tentative steps to ease restrictions or publishing indicative timetables,...
- May 07 2020
History doesn’t show “war on coronavirus” is inflationary
Numerous commentators have warned of an imminent inflation surge, in part based on comparisons between the “war on coronavirus” and historical military conflicts. Our analysis of economic recoveries f...
- May 06 2020
Global: Fears of policy-induced inflation are exaggerated
The scale of the recent monetary and fiscal policy loosening around the globe has led to growing concerns about a resurgence in inflation. However, we think the risks of a policy induced period of wel...
About Us
As part of the Oxford Economics Group we are the largest independent economics research house worldwide. Our team are experts at applying advanced economic and research techniques to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. Thanks to our multi-disciplinary team and our wide access to sector experts, executives and policy-makers we can dig deep into the business, economic, industry, financial, regulatory, technology, and social issues that organisations have to face.
In the Media
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Engineering Construction in Australia
Engineering Construction in Australia provides the best analysis, insights and forecasts of Australia’s dynamic civil construction market across transport (roads, bridges, railways, harbours), utilities (water, sewerage, electricity, telecommunications), recreation, pipelines and mining and heavy industry construction. Updated quarterly, including an extensive databank, detailed forecasts and project lists.
Building in Australia
A comprehensive overview of the long run Australia residential and non-residential outlook. Includes detailed forecasts by sector, including houses, apartments, offices, retail, warehouses, accommodation, education and health.
Residential Property Prospects 2018-2021
Report contains a three year forecast outlook for median house and unit prices for Australia’s state and territory capital cities and selected regional centres. Analysis and forecasts of key drivers, including economic indicators, migration, population growth and underlying demand and supply are also included.